Discover how you could profit from the world’s most unstoppable trend
"The seeds of the Little War were planted in a restless summer during the mid-1960s, with sit-ins and student demonstrations as youth tested its strength. By the early 1970s over 75% of the people living on Earth were under 21 years of age. The population continued to climb — and with it the youth percentage.
In the 1980s the figure was 79.7%.
In the 1990s, 82.4%.
In the year 2000 — critical mass."
These are the opening lines from Logan’s Run, by William F Nolan and George Clayton Johnson.
The story is about life in the 22nd Century.
It’s a time in which population and the consumption of resources is managed and maintained by a simple method. When you get to a certain age you are executed.
In the case of the book this was 21 years old; in the film it was 30.
Logan’s Run reflected one of the major fears of the age… and that fear has now returned.
Couples should have no more than two children, according to the British Medical Journal (BMJ).
The editorial asks GPs to encourage the view that large families are as environmentally destructive as an SUV.
Babies are a human need In 2007 the average fertility rate in England and Wales was 1.91. For every 100 women, 191 children were born.
If the fertility rate fell to 1.7, the population would fall by half in just 6 generations.
Quite simply, there is no way this will happen.
It would be an economically catastrophic policy. We are already facing a pension crisis. If the demographics of this country were skewed even more to an aging population we would be bankrupt within a couple of decades. That means there will be no political support.
But the main reason is that people want to have children. It is an inherent desire that cannot be removed. It’s part of what makes us human in the first place.
The BMJ was brave to raise this issue, but I do not expect a cacophony of praise for its stance.
The idea of population control is a political minefield – a minefield most will wish to avoid. After the shocking policies in India in the 1970s and China’s one-child policy raising the issue in the west has become taboo.
There’s no way that people will listen to a doctor or sanctimonious politician telling them to have less kids. Indeed, for many, large families are culturally essential.
There’s no way the population train will be derailed, despite good intentions.
This means the soaring population will continue to drive the commodities supercycle… for years and years to come.
The Earth’s resources are finite.
Each year since 2000 there has been a net 76 million new mouths to feed. Recent gains in commodity prices are reflecting this fact… and there’s no way this trend will be reversed without a large war or plague.
Until then, prices will rise and rise.
To discover how to prosper in the new world order click here. Regards,
Garry White
Editor
Smart Commodities UK